Election night board
Chamber control, the seat charts, every Senate race and every governor race, refreshing every 60 seconds. Races are grouped by the time the last polls in their state close. Prices move toward 0% or 100% as results are counted.
Senate seats
Senate controlHow to read this chart
Each dot is one Senate seat. Dots on the left are races Democrats are favoured to win, and dots on the right are races Republicans are favoured to win. A strong colour means the market is confident about the winner; a pale colour means a closer race. Yellow dots in the middle are toss-ups, where no side has a 60% chance or more.
The faded dots at the two ends are seats that are not on the ballot in 2026. They still count toward each party's total. The dashed line marks control. Democrats need 51 seats. Republicans need 50, because the Vice President breaks a 50–50 tie. Select a dot to open that race.
More in Methodology- Democrats, not upD, not up 34
- Safe DemocratSafe D 2
- Republicans, not upR, not up 31
House seats
House controlHow to read this chart
Each dot is one House seat. Dots on the left are races Democrats are favoured to win, and dots on the right are races Republicans are favoured to win. A strong colour means the market is confident about the winner; a pale colour means a closer race. Yellow dots in the middle are toss-ups, where no side has a 60% chance or more.
The dashed line marks 218 seats, the number a party needs for a majority. Select a dot to open that race.
More in Methodology- Safe DemocratSafe D 23
- Lean DemocratLean D 1
- Other leader 1
- Likely RepublicanLikely R 3
- Safe RepublicanSafe R 26
Biggest moves, last hour
When polls close
Eastern Time, when the last polls in each state close.
8:00 PM ET
Mississippi| Contest | Leader | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 1h | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi Senate Senate |
DScott Colom | 97.0% | 97.2% | 96.8% | 0.5 pts | +0.2 | +5.0 |
9:00 PM ET
Kansas| Contest | Leader | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 1h | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas Governor Governor |
DCindy Holscher | 99.4% | 99.6% | 99.2% | 0.5 pts | −0.2 | +0.5 |
Polls in part of Kansas close at 8:00 PM ET.
1:00 AM (4 Nov) ET
Alaska| Contest | Leader | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 1h | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Senate Senate |
DMary Peltola | 96.6% | 97.0% | 95.9% | 1.2 pts | +1.8 | +2.4 | |
| Alaska Governor Governor |
DJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | 99.3% Kalshi only |
– | 99.3% | – | 0.0 | −0.2 |
Polls in part of Alaska close at 12:00 AM (4 Nov) ET.
Poll closing times: 270toWin and The Green Papers, checked 14 Oct 2026. Individual polling places can close at other times.