BALLOT MEASURE · ARIZONA · 3 NOV 2026
Proposition 144
TruthIndex™
68.0%Lean YesChance it passes, +7.5 pts in 30 days
Yes 68.0%No 32.0%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Kalshi 68.0%Oct 16, 2026, 3:12 PM ET