nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
BALLOT MEASURE · ARKANSAS · 3 NOV 2026

Water Infrastructure Bond Question

TruthIndex™
88.0%Likely YesChance it passes, +2.0 pts in 30 days
Yes 88.0%No 12.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Kalshi 88.0%Oct 16, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

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