nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
BALLOT MEASURE · CALIFORNIA · 3 NOV 2026

Proposition 37 (homebuying loan program)

IMPLIED PROBABILITY
73.0%Lean YesChance it passes, +14.5 pts in 30 days
Yes 73.0%No 27.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 55.5% (not counted) · Kalshi 73.0% (one-sided)Oct 16, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

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