nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
BALLOT MEASURE · CALIFORNIA · 3 NOV 2026

Proposition 39

TruthIndex™
22.0%Likely NoChance it passes, +1.5 pts in 30 days
Yes 22.0%No 78.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Kalshi 22.0%Oct 16, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

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