BALLOT MEASURE · CALIFORNIA · 3 NOV 2026

Proposition 44 (clinic funding)

IMPLIED PROBABILITY

23.0%Likely NoChance it passes, −9.3 pts in 30 days

Yes 23.0%No 77.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 26.0% (not counted) · Kalshi 23.0% (one-sided)Oct 16, 2026, 3:12 PM ET