nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
BALLOT MEASURE · COLORADO · 3 NOV 2026

Proposition 134 (transgender school sports access)

TruthIndex™
61.0%Lean YesChance it passes, −2.5 pts in 30 days
Yes 61.0%No 39.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 51.5% (not counted) · Kalshi 61.0%Oct 16, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

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