nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
BALLOT MEASURE · COLORADO · 3 NOV 2026

Proposition 135 (underage transgender surgeries ban)

TruthIndex™
65.8%Lean YesChance it passes, +2.3 pts in 30 days
Yes 65.8%No 34.2%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 66.5% · Kalshi 60.0% · 6.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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