nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
BALLOT MEASURE · IDAHO · 3 NOV 2026

Proposition 1 (Reproductive Freedom and Privacy Act)

TruthIndex™
12.0%Likely NoChance it passes, −33.5 pts in 30 days
Yes 12.0%No 88.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 19.0% (not counted) · Kalshi 12.0%Oct 16, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

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