nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
BALLOT MEASURE · IOWA · 3 NOV 2026

Iowa vote to require a two-thirds vote to raise the income tax

TruthIndex™
35.0%Lean NoChance it passes, −20.5 pts in 30 days
Yes 35.0%No 65.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Kalshi 35.0%Oct 16, 2026, 4:01 PM ET

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