BALLOT MEASURE · IOWA · 3 NOV 2026
Iowa vote to require a two-thirds vote to raise the income tax
TruthIndex™
35.0%Lean NoChance it passes, −20.5 pts in 30 days
Yes 35.0%No 65.0%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
Kalshi 35.0%Oct 16, 2026, 4:01 PM ET