BALLOT MEASURE · LOUISIANA · 3 NOV 2026
Post-Conviction Bail
TruthIndex™
70.5%Lean YesChance it passes, −1.5 pts in 30 days
Yes 70.5%No 29.5%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Kalshi 70.5%Oct 16, 2026, 3:12 PM ET