BALLOT MEASURE · MARYLAND · 3 NOV 2026
Question 3 (redistricting requirements)
TruthIndex™
66.0%Lean YesChance it passes, −3.5 pts in 30 days
Yes 66.0%No 34.0%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 47.5% (not counted) · Kalshi 66.0%Oct 16, 2026, 3:12 PM ET