BALLOT MEASURE · MASSACHUSETTS · 3 NOV 2026
Question 3 (top-two primary)
TruthIndex™
39.7%Lean NoChance it passes, −11.8 pts in 30 days
Yes 39.7%No 60.3%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 40.0% · Kalshi 35.5% · 4.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 3:12 PM ET