nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
BALLOT MEASURE · MISSOURI · 3 NOV 2026

Missouri Amendment 3 (abortion and gender transition)

TruthIndex™
54.5%Toss-upChance it passes, +37.0 pts in 30 days
Yes 54.5%No 45.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Kalshi 54.5%Oct 16, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

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