nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
BALLOT MEASURE · NEVADA · 3 NOV 2026

Question 6 (abortion rights)

TruthIndex™
95.7%Safe YesChance it passes, −3.2 pts in 30 days
Yes 95.7%No 4.3%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 99.0% · Kalshi 94.3% · 4.6 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

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