BALLOT MEASURE · VERMONT · 3 NOV 2026
Proposal 4
TruthIndex™
86.0%Likely YesChance it passes, −1.0 pts in 30 days
Yes 86.0%No 14.0%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Kalshi 86.0%Oct 16, 2026, 3:12 PM ET