nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
CONTROL OF THE U.S. HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Democrats to win

TruthIndex™
90.4%Safe D+1.9 pts in 30 days
Democrats 90.4%Republicans 10.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 90.5% · Kalshi 90.1% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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