nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
CONTROL OF THE U.S. SENATE · 3 NOV 2026

Democrats to win

TruthIndex™
63.9%Lean D+6.9 pts in 30 days
Democrats 63.9%Republicans 36.6%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 64.5% · Kalshi 62.5% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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