nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
ALASKA GOVERNOR · 3 NOV 2026

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D) to win

TruthIndex™
77.0%Likely D+8.5 pts in 30 days
Kreiss-Tomkins (D) 77.0%Wilson (R) 21.4%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 76.8% · Kalshi 78.5% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io