nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
ARIZONA GOVERNOR · 3 NOV 2026

Katie Hobbs (D) to win

TruthIndex™
88.5%Likely D+1.0 pts in 30 days
Hobbs (D) 88.5%Biggs (R) 10.9%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 88.5% · Kalshi 88.5% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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