nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
FLORIDA GOVERNOR · 3 NOV 2026

Byron Donalds (R) to win

TruthIndex™
78.7%Likely R−1.8 pts in 30 days
Donalds (R) 78.7%Jolly (D) 20.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 79.5% · Kalshi 78.5% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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