nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
IOWA GOVERNOR · 3 NOV 2026

Rob Sand (D) to win

TruthIndex™
89.5%Likely D+11.7 pts in 30 days
Sand (D) 89.5%Lahn (R) 11.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 89.5% · Kalshi 89.5% · 0.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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