nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NEVADA GOVERNOR · 3 NOV 2026

Aaron Ford (D) to win

TruthIndex™
54.3%Toss-up+8.8 pts in 30 days
Ford (D) 54.3%Lombardo (R) 45.8%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 53.5% · Kalshi 54.5% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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