nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
OREGON GOVERNOR · 3 NOV 2026

Tina Kotek (D) to win

TruthIndex™
75.5%Likely D−10.2 pts in 30 days
Kotek (D) 75.5%Drazan (R) 23.6%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 75.5% · Kalshi 75.5% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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