PENNSYLVANIA GOVERNOR · 3 NOV 2026
Josh Shapiro (D) to win
TruthIndex™
97.8%Safe D+1.1 pts in 30 days
Shapiro (D) 97.8%Garrity (R) 2.1%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 97.8% · Kalshi 97.8% · 0.3 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET