nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
TEXAS GOVERNOR · 3 NOV 2026

Greg Abbott (R) to win

TruthIndex™
76.5%Likely R−6.2 pts in 30 days
Abbott (R) 76.5%Hinojosa (D) 22.9%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 76.8% · Kalshi 75.5% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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