nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
VERMONT GOVERNOR · 3 NOV 2026

Phil Scott (R) to win

TruthIndex™
76.3%Likely R−14.6 pts in 30 days
Scott (R) 76.3%Janoo (D) 24.4%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 76.0% · Kalshi 76.5% · 0.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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