nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
WISCONSIN GOVERNOR · 3 NOV 2026

David Crowley (D) to win

TruthIndex™
80.5%Likely D−1.5 pts in 30 days
Crowley (D) 80.5%Tiffany (R) 19.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 80.5% · Kalshi 80.5% · 0.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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