AK-AL HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Republicans to win
TruthIndex™
85.9%Likely R+0.4 pts in 30 days
Republicans 85.9%(Polymarket) 16.1%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 83.5% · Kalshi 86.5% · 3.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET