nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
AL-01 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Jerry Carl (R) to win

TruthIndex™
96.1%Safe R+1.2 pts in 30 days
Carl (R) 96.1%Jr. (D) 2.1%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.5% · Kalshi 97.2% · 1.7 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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