nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
AL-02 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Rhett Marques (R) to win

TruthIndex™
70.7%Lean R+3.2 pts in 30 days
Marques (R) 70.7%Figures (D) 29.4%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 69.5% · Kalshi 73.5% · 4.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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