nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
AL-04 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Robert Aderholt (R) to win

TruthIndex™
98.2%Safe R+1.4 pts in 30 days
Aderholt (R) 98.2%Pusczek (D) 1.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 98.6% · Kalshi 97.9% · 0.7 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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