AL-06 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Gary Palmer (R) to win
TruthIndex™
97.1%Safe R+2.4 pts in 30 days
Palmer (R) 97.1%Mercer (D) 2.0%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 96.0% · Kalshi 98.8% · 2.8 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET