nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
AR-01 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Rick Crawford (R) to win

TruthIndex™
97.0%Safe R+0.6 pts in 30 days
Crawford (R) 97.0%Green (D) 1.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.7% · Kalshi 98.3% · 1.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io