nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
AR-03 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Steve Womack (R) to win

TruthIndex™
94.2%Safe R−1.2 pts in 30 days
Womack (R) 94.2%Ryerse (D) 4.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 94.1% · Kalshi 96.3% · 2.2 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io