nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
AR-04 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Bruce Westerman (R) to win

TruthIndex™
97.6%Safe R+2.5 pts in 30 days
Westerman (R) 97.6%Russell (D) 2.1%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.6% · Kalshi 98.7% · 2.1 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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