AZ-01 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Amish Shah (D) to win
TruthIndex™
80.2%Likely D+8.5 pts in 30 days
Shah (D) 80.2%Feely (R) 19.8%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 81.5% · Kalshi 79.0% · 2.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET