AZ-02 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Eli Crane (R) to win
TruthIndex™
74.6%Lean R+4.4 pts in 30 days
Crane (R) 74.6%Nez (D) 25.1%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 74.0% · Kalshi 76.5% · 2.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET