AZ-03 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Yassamin Ansari (D) to win
TruthIndex™
98.5%Safe D+0.7 pts in 30 days
Ansari (D) 98.5%Republicans 1.2%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 99.0% · Kalshi 98.3% · 0.7 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET