nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
AZ-06 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

JoAnna Mendoza (D) to win

TruthIndex™
83.9%Likely D+2.2 pts in 30 days
Mendoza (D) 83.9%Ciscomani (R) 16.1%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 83.5% · Kalshi 84.0% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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