nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
AZ-07 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Adelita Grijalva (D) to win

TruthIndex™
98.6%Safe D+2.8 pts in 30 days
Grijalva (D) 98.6%Butierez (R) 0.6%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 99.0% · Kalshi 98.4% · 0.7 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io