nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
AZ-08 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Abraham Hamadeh (R) to win

TruthIndex™
86.7%Likely R+1.5 pts in 30 days
Hamadeh (R) 86.7%Greene-Placentia (D) 13.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 86.5% · Kalshi 87.5% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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