nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
CA-03 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Ami Bera (D) to win

TruthIndex™
96.0%Safe D+1.3 pts in 30 days
Bera (D) 96.0%Tucker (R) 3.1%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.0% · Kalshi 95.8% · 0.3 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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