nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
CA-04 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Democrats to win

TruthIndex™
95.1%Safe D−1.1 pts in 30 days
Democrats 95.1%Republicans 3.6%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.1%Oct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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