nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
CA-05 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Tom McClintock (R) to win

TruthIndex™
93.3%Safe R+0.6 pts in 30 days
McClintock (R) 93.3%Masuda (D) 6.2%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 93.0% · Kalshi 94.0% · 1.1 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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