CA-06 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Richard Pan (D) to win
TruthIndex™
94.6%Safe D−0.5 pts in 30 days
Pan (D) 94.6%Republicans 0.9%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 95.0% · Kalshi 92.3% · 2.6 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET