nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
CA-08 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

John Garamendi (D) to win

TruthIndex™
96.9%Safe D+0.6 pts in 30 days
Garamendi (D) 96.9%Recile (R) 3.4%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.2% · Kalshi 97.2% · 1.3 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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