nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
CA-13 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Adam Gray (D) to win

TruthIndex™
95.7%Safe D+3.4 pts in 30 days
Gray (D) 95.7%Lincoln (R) 3.7%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.0% · Kalshi 94.8% · 1.2 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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