nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
CA-15 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Kevin Mullin (D) to win

TruthIndex™
97.5%Safe D+1.9 pts in 30 days
Mullin (D) 97.5%Hoelter (R) 1.8%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.4% · Kalshi 97.8% · 0.4 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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