nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
CA-22 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Randy Villegas (D) to win

TruthIndex™
90.3%Safe D+1.4 pts in 30 days
Villegas (D) 90.3%Valadao (R) 9.2%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 92.0% · Kalshi 90.2% · 1.8 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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